Meteorologists in Lithuania are predicting early signs of spring with a warmer-than-average first half of March, but caution that the reliability of long-term forecasts is low.
Meteorologists in Lithuania are indicating that early signs of spring may appear as March approaches, with predictions showing that the first half of March could be up to 0.5 degrees Celsius warmer than average and precipitation potentially reduced by 50% compared to historical averages. This shift comes after a notably cold December and January, which were ranked the fourth warmest and seventh coldest, respectively, since 1961, leading to increased public interest in the upcoming seasonal changes.
The forecasting agency highlighted the recent trend of colder February temperatures, which have mirrored conditions from 2011 and 2012, despite initial predictions suggesting a milder month. This discrepancy points to the challenges faced in weather prediction, particularly long-term forecasts, which can often lead to unexpected conditions that deviate from initial models.
Ultimately, while there are signs indicating a shift toward spring, meteorologists emphasize caution against making significant decisions based solely on long-term forecasts due to their inherent uncertainty. Despite the optimistic outlook for March, cold and wet days may still occur, reminding the public of the unpredictable nature of weather patterns in the region.
