In January 2026, Petrolina, located in the Sertão region of Pernambuco, saw an increase in the price of its basic food basket, with a recorded inflation rate of 3.01% compared to the previous month. The total cost of the basket now stands at R$ 606.92. The rise in prices has been attributed primarily to increases in the costs of beef and French bread. The price of beef has been particularly affected by a reduced number of slaughter animals and a surge in exports. Experts project similar pressures to continue throughout 2026 due to significant culling of female cattle, resulting in fewer young animals available.

Furthermore, the rising costs of electricity and raw materials have contributed to the increase in bread prices. Conversely, some staples such as milk, rice, and sugar experienced price declines in the same period. The drops in the cost of milk and rice are linked to healthy stock levels of these items. Meanwhile, sugar prices have fallen due to a mismatch between higher supply and lower demand. This complex interplay of factors reflects the ongoing challenges in managing food prices in the region and raises concerns about economic stability for residents.

Overall, the fluctuations in the basic food basket prices highlight the challenges facing consumers in Petrolina. With critical staple items experiencing price volatility, families may struggle to maintain their budgets. Analysts will be closely monitoring these trends, as further increases could significantly impact the local economy and living standards in the area, reinforcing existing concerns around inflation and access to affordable food options.