A recent Genial/Quaest survey, conducted from February 5 to 9 with 2,004 respondents, reveals that President Lula (PT) maintains a leading position across seven tested first-round scenarios. As Brazil approaches its elections, this poll highlights Lula's ongoing support while also indicating that Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) is solidifying his role as the main opposition candidate. The results show that Lula's political movements are being closely watched and evaluated as the electoral landscape shifts.

On February 11, Flávio Bolsonaro participated in an event hosted by BTG bank, where he directed offensive comments toward President Lula, receiving applause from attendees. Conversely, President Lula attended a ceremony in Brasília without making a speech, which raises questions about his public engagement strategy as the election date nears. This dynamic illustrates the contrasting approaches of both leaders as they navigate their pre-campaign activities and interactions with the public.

The poll also tested scenarios without including Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos-SP) while incorporating potential candidates such as governors Romeu Zema (Novo-MG), Ratinho Jr. (PSD-PR), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD-GO), and Eduardo Leite (PSD-RS). The latter three governors have become targets for both the PT and PL parties, as they vie for endorsements or neutrality in this highly competitive electoral environment. This scenario indicates a strategic maneuvering among parties as they position themselves ahead of the significant October elections.