Mato Grosso, Brazil, is poised for economic expansion in 2026, mainly due to its agribusiness sector which contributed to a record grain harvest last year. This growth is occurring alongside anticipated challenges such as international export conditions and logistical limitations impacting agricultural production. Despite a projected decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of approximately 2.2% this year, after a remarkable increase of 6.4% in 2025, experts believe that state growth will continue in the coming years.

According to economist Júlio César da Cunha Lopes, this year's decline in GDP can be viewed as a necessary correction following last year's exceptional grain harvest. This harvest formed a substantial one-third of Brazil’s total crop, positioning Mato Grosso as a critical player in the country's agricultural landscape. Policymakers are focusing on addressing logistical issues to ensure that the agricultural sector functions efficiently, which remains a key driver of economic stability and growth in the region.

Looking ahead to 2026, expectations for the agribusiness in Mato Grosso include further investment in agroindustry, which could help mitigate the impacts of international market fluctuations. The focus will be on enhancing infrastructure and supply chains to manage the agricultural output effectively, thereby supporting continuous economic growth. The resilience demonstrated by the agribusiness sector provides a hopeful outlook for the state's economy even in the face of potential adversities.