The Brazilian polling organization Quaest is set to release a new survey on Wednesday, November 11, focusing on public opinion regarding President Lula's administration and the upcoming 2026 presidential elections. This poll stands out as it is the first to omit the name of São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas from the list of potential candidates, even as he has expressed intentions to run for re-election. Tarcísio has also indicated his support for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who has declared his candidacy for the presidency with backing from his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro.

Despite the growing interest in the upcoming election, it's important to note that the candidacies are not yet formalized and require confirmation from the parties during conventions scheduled between July and August, with a legal registration deadline set for August 15. The survey will include eight possible candidates and will evaluate scenarios for both the first and second electoral rounds. Furthermore, this poll will be the first conducted following the affiliation of Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado with the Social Democratic Party (PSD), which is preparing to nominate its own candidate and is expected to decide between Caiado and others by April.

The political landscape ahead of the 2026 elections is shaping up to be quite competitive, with multiple candidates emerging, and voters will be keenly observing party movements and candidate declarations leading up to the conventions. The lack of Tarcísio's name in this poll might represent a significant shift in the race for the presidency, as his absence could lead to new dynamics within the potential candidate pool as the election draws nearer, impacting strategic decisions by various political parties involved.