Israeli security officials, as reported by Channel 12, are contemplating a scenario termed 'gradual collapse' regarding the Iranian regime amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. This prediction suggests that while the current regime may endure through the immediate hostilities, it will become significantly weakened, leading to a slow deterioration of its stability in the long run. The officials indicate that this scenario diverges from the likelihood of a swift regime change, focusing instead on sustained vulnerabilities over time.

Key factors contributing to this potential gradual collapse include Iran's worsening economic crisis, which aggravates public dissatisfaction, as well as the possibility of alternative leadership emerging. Internal unrest continues to pose a threat to the regime’s viability. These challenges are compounded by ongoing regional pressures from a coalition of Gulf states and other foreign powers, which seek to destabilize Iran further. The multifaceted challenges point to a scenario where, although the regime may not fall immediately, its prolonged existence could be increasingly untenable.

The implications of this scenario are significant for regional stability and international relations. If the Iranian regime does experience a slow decline, it may lead to shifts in geopolitical alliances and influence within the Middle East. The Israeli perspective on this gradual collapse could also shape its military and diplomatic strategies moving forward, especially concerning its interactions with both the Iranian leadership and surrounding nations that are wary of Iran's regional ambitions.