Marcin Duma, the founder of the polling company IBRiS, recently shared a survey revealing how Poles would cast their votes in the first round of the 2025 presidential elections, assuming the same candidates from 2020. The results show that Karol Nawrocki leads with 39.6% of the votes, followed by Rafał Trzaskowski at 27.4%. This polling outcome reflects a shift in voting preferences over the past six months, illustrating how political landscapes can change rapidly.

In the hypothetical voting scenario, Sławomir Mentzen would come in third place with 6.9% support, narrowly surpassing Grzegorz Braun at 6.7%. Following them are Adrian Zandberg with 5.3% and Magdalena Biejat with 4.8%. The survey also accounted for Szymon Hołownia, who would receive just 1.1% of the votes. Additionally, 5% of the respondents were undecided, highlighting the uncertainty in political loyalties.

The survey data contrasts sharply with actual election results, indicating potential shifts in voter sentiment and preferences. This suggests that electoral dynamics in Poland are in flux, urging political parties to reassess their strategies ahead of the upcoming elections. Such polling insights are invaluable for understanding the evolving political landscape and preparing for a competitive electoral environment.