Will the Sound of Baby Crying Continue to Grow? Housing and Jobs are Key
Experts emphasize the importance of addressing structural issues such as housing and employment to maintain the upward trend in South Korea's birth rate, which increased for two consecutive years.
South Korea's total fertility rate saw an increase last year for the second consecutive year, reaching the 0.8 range. However, experts caution that this improvement does not mean the nation has escaped the crises of possible extinction. They argue that without addressing structural issues such as support systems for child-rearing, housing, and job availability, sustaining a rebound in birth rates will be challenging. The National Statistical Office identifies an increase in marriages as a leading factor in this rise, which is essential since marriage is a precursor to childbirth.
Data reveals that marriages in South Korea increased by 16% from 2022 to 2023. Specifically, women in their early 30s represent the primary age group advocating for childbirth, significantly affecting the increase in the total fertility rate. This group, often referred to as the 'Echo Boomers,' comprises the children of the second Baby Boomer generation born between 1964 and 1974. Their rising population is pivotal, as it has resulted in a higher birth rate, with early 30s women reporting the highest number of births among age groups.
Despite the positive shift in perceptions about marriage and childbirth—where a significant majority believe that marriage necessitates children—concerns remain about whether the birth rate can sustain its upward trajectory. With the total fertility rate still below one child per woman, the nation faces long-term demographic challenges. While public sentiment appears to be evolving positively towards marriage and child-rearing, sustained governmental policies fostering such changes are necessary to avert a demographic crisis in the future.