As Russia's invasion of Ukraine extends into its fifth year, the progress made by Russian forces is minimal compared to historical invasions, with some areas seeing incremental advancements of mere metres. This stagnation challenges the narrative, occasionally echoed by Western officials, that Ukraine is undergoing a slow-motion defeat. The gains reported amount to a mere 1,865 square miles, or less than 1% of Ukraine's total territory, putting into perspective the broader situation on the ground.

Despite extensive damage to infrastructure and displacements due to bombings in various regions, Ukraine is adapting its military strategy. Recent counterattacks, particularly one near Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia province, have yielded positive results, indicating that Ukrainian forces are not only holding their ground but also regaining territory. This renewed offensive reflects a shift in Ukraine’s approach, focusing on targeted operations to reclaim control in strategically significant areas.

The continued resilience of Ukraine raises questions about the effectiveness of Russia's military tactics and the long-term implications of the invasion. With a protracted conflict that shows little sign of resolution, the situation could lead to heightened international involvement and support for Ukraine as it seeks to reinforce its defenses and potentially shift the tide against Russian advances. The narrative of Ukrainian defeat seems increasingly at odds with the on-ground reality, underscoring the complexities of this ongoing conflict.