The death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as 'El Mencho', occurred during an operation carried out by the Mexican army with support from the United States, marking a significant blow to the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG). The elimination of such a prominent figure raised concerns about the ensuing wave of violence that might spill over into neighboring countries. Experts warn that while the CJNG will face immediate challenges in the wake of this loss, the structured nature of narcotraffic and organized crime suggests that they will likely re-establish themselves quickly. Despite the current upheaval, experts like Gaspard Estrada emphasize that the fundamental dynamics of drug trafficking will endure, maintaining a persistent threat to stability.

Furthermore, the collaboration seen between Mexico and the United States in this military operation hints at broader implications, suggesting a potential shift in strategies against powerful drug cartels. However, as the CJNG navigates the aftermath of losing its leader, there is an expectation of retaliatory violence aimed not only at law enforcement but also possibly towards rival factions. This situation underscores the uncertainty that looms over Mexico as it grapples with its internal security challenges, pointing to a future where violence may escalate as different cartels vie for dominance in a fragmented landscape.