Feb 23 • 07:18 UTC 🇲🇽 Mexico El Financiero (ES)

Mexico after El Mencho: the balance that was broken

The death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, has led to coordinated violent reactions from organized crime in Jalisco, highlighting the region's fragility and control issues.

The recent operation that resulted in the death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, has dramatically disrupted the apparent stability that Jalisco had experienced over the past year. Following his death, organized crime launched a series of coordinated violent responses that revealed the underlying fragility of territorial control within one of Mexico's most strategically important regions. The aftermath saw a spate of violence including burning vehicles, blocked roads, and civilians forced to seek shelter, indicating that these were not random disturbances but rather a synchronized show of force from criminal groups.

The timing of the military operation against El Mencho appeared to be intentionally chosen for early Sunday morning when civilian mobility was reduced, aiming to minimize immediate human costs. However, criminals also demonstrated strategic foresight, responding with chaos across the region almost instantaneously, which underscores their operational capabilities. This efficient and aggressive reaction not only highlighted the precarious security situation in Jalisco but also emphasized the potential for continued violence as competing factions seek to assert dominance.

The implications of this event extend beyond local disturbances; the violence reached major infrastructures, exemplified by turmoil at Guadalajara's International Airport—an essential hub for both local and international connections. The events early on Sunday signal a critical turning point in Jalisco, raising concerns about the potential for escalating violence as criminal organizations jockey for power in the wake of El Mencho's elimination.

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