Feb 15 • 04:00 UTC 🇨🇳 China South China Morning Post

How a ‘military vacuum’ in West and Central Africa opened new markets for China

A military vacuum in West and Central Africa, created by the withdrawal of French forces and limited Russian weapon supplies, has opened new markets for Chinese military trade.

The article discusses the shift in geopolitical dynamics in West and Central Africa following the withdrawal of French military forces and a series of military coups in the Sahel region. With France's influence waning, analysts indicate that this 'military vacuum' presents a strategic opportunity for China to expand its presence and military trade in the region. This change is further complicated by the decreasing availability of Russian arms, leading to an increased openness from countries like Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger to seek partnerships with China as they look for military resources and support.

As the Sahel countries navigate their new political landscapes, the diminished security arrangements have made them more susceptible to foreign engagement. The report highlighted in the article notes that the removal of established security frameworks has led to market substitution opportunities for Chinese weapons manufacturers. With local governments facing security challenges, particularly related to terrorism and insurgency, there is a compelling need for military supplies, and China is poised to step in to meet this demand, potentially reshaping arms trade networks in the area.

This geopolitical shift presents significant implications. For China, expanding military ties in Africa serves its broader ambition of increasing influence in global affairs and challenging Western dominance. Opportunities in the Sahel not only provide a market for arms but also pave the way for deeper economic, political, and security partnerships, thereby enhancing China’s stature on the continent while simultaneously raising concerns among Western nations about the effectiveness of their past engagements and the potential implications of Chinese presence for regional stability.

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