Lithuanian meteorologist G. Valaika discusses the ongoing and fluctuating predictions for weather patterns in Lithuania. Despite previous expectations for a more extended warm period, recent models have indicated a return to colder weather, with predictions of brief warm spells not fulfilling forecasts. Valaika mentions that the reliability of weather forecasts has diminished recently, citing the change in airflow patterns.

In the past 2-3 days, the ECMWF weather model calculations have adjusted towards colder temperatures, contrary to earlier predictions of a thaw lasting at least four days. Initial forecasts anticipated melting snow across much of Lithuania, fueled by fog and rain; however, the latest assessments suggest a different scenario where the thaw might only impact the southern part of the country for a couple of days. Precipitation variations are expected, and the northern regions may experience less positive temperatures and increased snow accumulation.

Ultimately, Valaika indicates that the south will see the most mixed forms of precipitation, while the northern regions may largely remain under snow and sleet, affecting overall winter conditions. This unpredictability prompts a cautious approach to weather forecasting as Valaika emphasizes the need for continued observation and adjustments as new data emerges.