Mar 20 • 17:00 UTC 🇪🇸 Spain El País

The IMF cuts Spain's growth forecast to 2.1% this year due to the war in Iran

The IMF has reduced its growth forecast for Spain to 2.1% for this year, attributing the change to the impact of the war in Iran.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Spain's economic growth forecast for this year to 2.1%, a reduction of two-tenths from its previous update. The IMF's revised outlook comes as a response to rising global tensions, particularly those stemming from the ongoing war between the United States and Israel against Iran, which has raised fears of an energy crisis. This has been exacerbated by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for energy supplies, and attacks on energy infrastructure in the Gulf, leading to spikes in oil and gas prices that affect economies worldwide.

The IMF calls for more robust actions from the Spanish government to tackle the ongoing housing crisis and has recommended the removal of rent controls to foster a healthier housing market. These recommendations highlight the IMF's concern about Spain's economic vulnerabilities amidst global disruptions, as the nation's economy faces pressures not only from external factors but also from domestic challenges like the housing market, which significantly impacts the overall economic landscape.

Despite the downgrade, the report suggests that Spain's economy is in a better position to handle these disturbances compared to other European nations. This relative resilience can be attributed to Spain's diverse economic base and previous reforms, but the IMF emphasizes that continuous proactive measures are needed to safeguard against further economic volatility, particularly as global energy markets remain unstable.

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