Meteorologists predict that summer 2026 in Poland will be moderate, with temperatures close to averages, along with some episodes of heat and cooler days.
After a harsh winter, March in Poland has been notably warm, but meteorologists are signaling that the upcoming months may not follow suit with the same level of warmth. April and May are expected to bring temperatures that align closely with the averages recorded between 1991 and 2020, although rainfall could increase, particularly in May.
Looking ahead to summer 2026, forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate a moderate summer for Poland, with temperatures similar to historical averages or slightly above. Generally, the summer will feature warm days interspersed with brief heat waves and cooler periods, particularly in the southern regions during June and July, while August is projected to be warmest in the west.
The variations in temperature are predicted to be minimal, with thermometers potentially indicating a deviation of only 0.5 to 1 degree from the average. This balanced weather pattern might imply a more stable summer climate than previous years, but also affects agricultural planning and tourism expectations for that period.
