A new poll published by Channel 12 shows that if elections were held today, the Likud party would receive 26 mandates, the same number it garnered in a previous survey taken just two days before the outbreak of war. Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's party and former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party maintain their previous support levels as well. Notably, the Democratic Party led by Yair Golan has gained one mandate, while Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid and the Otzma Yehudit party each lost one mandate. The poll also evaluated a scenario where the Arab parties run separately rather than in a joint list.

Interestingly, the survey indicated that some parties, including the Religious Zionist Party and Blue and White, would not pass the electoral threshold. The results predict that neither camp—Netanyahu's supporters nor his opponents—will be able to form a government without the backing of the Arab parties. However, the opposition bloc shows a marginal increase, suggesting a shifting dynamic in the political landscape with the opposition now holding 59 mandates without the support of the Arab parties. This calls into question the potential for future coalitions and the stability of governance in Israel amid ongoing conflict.