The Finnish Security Police (Supo) has released a report on national security, signaling that Russia continues to be the largest threat to Finland's security. According to Juha Martelius, the head of Supo, Russia's ambitions as a major power will not diminish even after the war in Ukraine concludes. The report specifically mentions how Russian activities are heightening the chances of accidents in the Baltic Sea region.

In the report, Supo points out that poorly maintained tankers, which belong to Russia's shadow fleet, operate in the Baltic Sea without adequate insurance, thereby increasing the risk of maritime accidents. These conditions are concerning, given the strategic importance of the Baltic Sea for both Finland and neighboring countries. Supo's assessment warns about the safety implications related to the presence of these vessels in the area, especially amid heightened military tensions in Europe.

Furthermore, while the report emphasizes the threat posed by Russia, it also clarifies that not all suspicious incidents can be directly attributed to Russian influence. For instance, cable damage incidents in the Baltic Sea have been quite common since the 2000s, suggesting that recurrence alone does not necessarily indicate state-sponsored influence activities. This nuanced perspective is crucial as it acknowledges both the genuine threats and the importance of avoiding over-attribution of blame in complex security scenarios.