Mar 8 • 21:02 UTC 🇧🇷 Brazil G1 (PT)

Middle East Conflict: USP analyzes possible impacts on the Brazilian chicken market; see main challenges

Brazilian chicken producers are on alert due to the Middle East conflict, assessing potential market reallocations as uncertainty rises around exports to the region.

Brazilian chicken producers are expressing concern about the potential impacts of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly as it relates to their export markets. According to a recent report from the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics (Cepea) at the University of São Paulo (USP), the region accounted for approximately 25% of Brazil's chicken exports in 2025. With the current geopolitical tensions involving the United States and Iran, there is speculation that new exports to the Middle East could be suspended, prompting Brazilian poultry farmers to consider reallocating their production to alternative markets.

The report indicates that Brazilian chicken exporters may face challenges due to reduced internal supply and rising prices for chicken products. The uncertainty surrounding the conflict and its potential to disrupt trade dynamics has gotten the attention of aviculturists, who are keen to navigate the shifting landscape. Chicken producers are particularly wary of losing their foothold in a market that has been significant for their exports, relying heavily on whole chicken sales to countries in the affected region.

As these developments unfold, it remains to be seen how the conflict will directly affect Brazil's poultry industry and the broader agricultural sector. Industry stakeholders are urged to monitor the situation closely, as the implications of any export restrictions could have cascading effects on Brazilian agriculture, consumer prices, and international trade relationships. The concerns voiced by producers underscore the delicate balance of global trading systems and the vulnerabilities that arise from geopolitical conflicts.

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