The announcement of Iran's ban on food exports due to rising conflict in the Middle East could significantly impact the international pistachio market, with implications for Brazil. Experts suggest that if this ban persists, it could lead to increased prices and reduced availability of pistachios in the Brazilian market, given the country's reliance on Iranian imports. Until early 2026, Brazil had imported sizeable quantities of pistachios from Iran, surpassing imports from the United States.

The extent of the impact on Brazil’s pistachio supply and pricing will depend on the duration and the severity of the Iranian conflict. If the sanctions are short-lived, the market may manage to absorb the fluctuations without significant disruption. However, a prolonged restriction combined with possible logistical challenges in the region could result in a marked increase in prices and intensified competition among international buyers for the available supply.

Historically, Brazil has seen a dramatic increase in its pistachio imports from Iran, escalating from 121.3 tons in 2025 to 422.6 tons later that year. This trend highlights Brazil's growing dependency on Iranian pistachios, and thus the ramifications of any ban could reverberate significantly through local markets, affecting consumers and businesses alike.