Arkady Moshes, a program director at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, highlights the deteriorating position of Russia in the Middle East, suggesting that this decline is a continual trend. He notes that the outcome of the ongoing conflict in Iran could significantly affect Russia’s stance, especially if there were to be a change in leadership in Iran. Previously, Russia maintained strong relations with many Middle Eastern nations, including Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Israel, even amidst their own inter-state conflicts.

Moshes suggests that four years ago, Russia enjoyed favorable relations with nearly all Middle Eastern countries, allowing for various forms of cooperation despite differing interests. However, the current situation shows a stark contrast as Russia's influence is being challenged. The involvement of external actors in the Middle East, alongside internal developments in nations such as Iran, is further complicating Russia's foreign policy.

Moreover, Moshes speculates that President Putin's comments regarding the death of Iran's supreme leader could provoke a reaction from former President Trump, shedding light on the interconnectedness of the geopolitical scenarios. The implications of these statements suggest a significant potential shift in alliances and power dynamics in the region, which could ultimately have repercussions for Russia's role in the Ukraine conflict as well.