Eduardo Guerrero, a security consultant, commented on the recent death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, commonly known as ‘El Mencho’, suggesting that this event will not have an immediate impact on violence in the country. Instead, Guerrero forecasts that the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) may pause its expansionist efforts in the wake of this significant incident. This perspective underlines the complex dynamics within Mexican organized crime, indicating that while the drug cartels are heavily affected by such losses, their day-to-day operations may not be as dramatically altered as one might presume.

Guerrero's remarks were made during an interview on La Silla Roja, a program on El Financiero TV, where he also highlighted that the death of ‘El Mencho’ serves as a substantial blow to the cartel operations, particularly for the administration of President Claudia Sheinbaum. He pointed out that this successful strike against organized crime challenges the narrative that Sheinbaum fears the influence of drug trafficking organizations. The message sent by this successful operation could alter public perception of her leadership and resilience against crime.

The event is seen as a decisive moment for Sheinbaum's governance, as it showcases her capability to confront complex situations despite inherent risks. Guerrero emphasized that such actions are crucial as they not only demonstrate political strength but also can potentially reshape the future engagements of drug cartels. While the long-term implications of ‘El Mencho’s’ death on cartel operations remain uncertain, the immediate aftermath suggests a potential recalibration of strategies within the CJNG, setting the stage for future developments in Mexico’s ongoing battle against drug-related violence.