Why the death of 'El Mencho', Mexico's most wanted trafficker, does not reduce violence in the country
The death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as 'El Mencho', is a significant blow to drug trafficking efforts in Mexico, yet experts believe it will not diminish the cartel's power.
The death of Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, more widely known as 'El Mencho', represents a notable triumph for the Mexican government's attempts to combat the influence of drug cartels operating within its borders. Killed by security forces on February 22, this event marks a pivotal moment for the CJNG, the cartel El Mencho led, which has been a dominant player in the global drug trade since 2011. Under his leadership, the cartel expanded its operations into various illegal activities including human trafficking, illegal gold mining, and avocado production, showcasing both its power and versatility in the underworld.
Despite his death, experts caution that it is unlikely to lead to any significant reduction in violence or dismantlement of the cartel. The CJNG is described as having a complex organizational structure, which could allow it to continue its operations even in the absence of its leader. Analysts from BBC News highlight that rather than collapsing, the cartel may adapt and evolve, potentially leading to continued or even increased violence as different factions vie for power within the organization. El Mencho's death may not hold the same impact as anticipated, as his leadership is only one element of the broader cartel dynamics.
As the situation unfolds, it raises critical questions about the efficacy of Mexican authorities' strategies in tackling organized crime. The persistence of cartels like CJNG and their capacity to adapt amidst leadership changes indicates that the fight against drug-related violence in Mexico is far from over. Challenges will remain as additional power struggles may arise, and it remains to be seen how this shift will affect the trajectory of violence in the region, which has already been marred by years of conflict linked to drug trafficking.