According to the second estimate of GDP, Lithuania's GDP rose by 1.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the third quarter, reaching €22.3 billion in current prices. The manufacturing sector, as well as wholesale and retail trade, transport, and storage activities, made the largest positive contributions to this growth. Furthermore, the formation of gross fixed capital saw the most substantial increase of 1.8% in the last quarter, along with slight increases in household and government final consumption expenditures by 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively.

In 2025, the overall import of goods and services declined by 1.1%, while exports decreased by 0.3%. When accounting for seasonal effects and the number of working days, the GDP growth for the quarter was recorded at 3.1%, with the same adjusted growth rate for the period. Analysts point to these figures as indicators of economic resilience despite challenges in external trade balances and consumer spending.

The growth figures reflect a broader trend challenging external conditions, particularly in the context of inflation and shifting global market dynamics. The results prompt discussions concerning economic policies that Lithuania might adopt to sustain its growth trajectory and address the changing landscape of trade and investment opportunities in 2026 and beyond.