Jānis Sārts, the director of NATO's Strategic Communications Centre, argues that the ongoing war in Iran may significantly reduce Russia's international influence. He highlights that the lack of support from Russian dictator Vladimir Putin for the Iranian regime will make Iran rethink its collaborative efforts with other countries. This change in dynamics illustrates how geopolitical shifts can challenge established alliances and force nations to reassess their foreign relations in light of changing power structures in global politics.

Furthermore, Sārts emphasizes the implications of the U.S. intelligence capabilities and the demonstrated military technological superiority in both Venezuela and Iran, alongside the unpredictable stance of former President Trump, which require Putin to adopt a more cautious approach in his strategic decisions. The potential for prolonged conflict in Iran might result in Western nations facing dwindling arms and ammunition supplies, as production has not reached full capacity. This scenario not only affects military readiness but also alters the balance of power in the region and beyond.

In addition to the risks, Sārts points out potential advantages for the West, particularly if the oil prices rise significantly over an extended period, which could provide a much-needed boost to the weakened Russian economy. He concludes that while the war in Iran presents several risks, it overall offers positive prospects for the West if managed correctly, raising essential questions about the duration of the conflict and its far-reaching implications for international security and alliances that have held for decades.