March projects persistent rains in Guayaquil due to climate anomaly influence, according to Inamhi estimates
March is expected to bring persistent rains to Guayaquil and nearby areas due to a coastal warm event, as reported by Ecuador's National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inamhi).
A recent coastal warm event has significantly increased rainfall intensity in Guayaquil and nearby cantons. February has already seen a 49.5% surplus in precipitation in Guayaquil, although the totals have not yet reached the peak levels observed in February 2025. Forecasts indicate that March and April will be particularly rainy across the coast and western mountainous regions, raising concerns for local communities and infrastructure.
In its technical analysis, the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inamhi) states that the rainfall levels recorded in February have generally fallen within normal to above-normal ranges across much of the country. This weather phenomenon's effects are not isolated to the coastal region or large cities, as the patterns of precipitation have shown a broader national impact. Regional analyst Carlos Luis Naranjo Silva highlighted that February's projections had anticipated normal to above-normal rainfall levels, confirming that the observed precipitation rates are consistent with expectations.
The implications of this weather pattern are significant, as heavy rains can lead to flooding and landslide risks, particularly in vulnerable areas. The government and local authorities may need to implement measures to prepare for the expected rains in the coming months to mitigate potential damages and ensure public safety. Given the current climate anomalies, monitoring and response strategies will be crucial in managing the effects of this weather trend across Ecuador.