The Tisza party has established a significant lead over the ruling Fidesz party in Hungary, as indicated by a recent poll from the respected Medián institute. In the overall electorate, Tisza leads by 11 percentage points, but the gap widens to 20 points among voters who have made up their minds, suggesting an approximate 800,000 vote advantage over Fidesz. This recent data marks a notable increase in Tisza's standing, as they have gained eight points since the previous survey, highlighting a clear shift in voter sentiment in the weeks leading up to the elections.

In response to the surprising poll results, Prime Minister Orbán quickly took to social media to dismiss the findings, humorously criticizing the director of Medián, Endre Hann, and implying that the Tisza party's rise was not as credible as indicated. This exchange showcases the contentious nature of the political landscape in Hungary, where public opinion is sharply polarized, and the approach of the elections is intensifying the competition between parties. Meanwhile, a contrasting poll from a Fidesz-affiliated institute, Nézőpont, contradicts the Medián survey, indicating that if elections were held immediately, Fidesz would garner 45 percent of the vote compared to Tisza's 40 percent.

The discrepancies between these polls illustrate the uncertainty and volatility of the pre-election environment in Hungary. With only 45 days until the elections, the stakes are high, not just for the parties involved but for the future direction of Hungarian politics as well. The increasing presence of troops in the streets, as ordered by Orbán, adds an element of tension and raises questions about the implications of his government’s strategy during this critical period. Both parties are now faced with the challenge of convincing wavering voters as they prepare for what could be a pivotal election.