Feb 27 β€’ 06:29 UTC πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή Lithuania Lrytas

A tool has been created that allows for better prediction of dangerous solar phenomena

A group of scientists in Lithuania has developed a new tool called PINNBARDS that improves the prediction of dangerous solar phenomena, offering forecasts weeks in advance rather than hours.

A group of scientists in Lithuania has successfully created a neural network-based tool known as PINNBARDS, which significantly enhances the ability to predict dangerous solar phenomena like solar flares. With the Sun currently at the peak of an eleven-year cycle of activity, accurate forecasting of solar events is becoming increasingly crucial, especially in light of preparations for human expeditions to the Moon and other space missions. Existing forecasting methods are limited, providing only a few hours' notice based on the properties of small-scale magnetic fields. In contrast, PINNBARDS can anticipate the emergence of active solar regions up to several weeks ahead, vastly improving readiness for potential solar storms.

The new forecasting system is based on key characteristics of solar active regions, which do not appear randomly but cluster along large bands or toroidal structures at roughly equal latitudes on the Sun's surface. These bands are reflective of the magnetic structures found within the Sun's tachocline, a thin transitional layer between its smoothly rotating interior and the more turbulent outer convection zone. This innovative approach represents a significant advancement in solar observation technology, as it allows scientists to identify patterns and predict solar activity more effectively than previously achievable.

The implications of this development are profound, not just for space agencies planning human missions but also for anyone relying on satellite technology and communications, which are highly vulnerable to solar activity. As our dependence on these technologies increases, such advancements in predictive science will be essential for safeguarding infrastructure and ensuring the success of future space exploration endeavors.

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