Feb 26 • 22:00 UTC 🇯🇵 Japan Asahi Shimbun (JP)

Kim Jong-un does not mention China or Russia at the party congress – Insights into North Korea’s foreign policy from Toshiji Hiraiwa

Kim Jong-un's recent remarks at the party congress exclude mentions of China and Russia, focusing more on a pragmatic approach towards South Korea and implying a cautious stance in relation to the U.S.

At the recent party congress, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un notably refrained from mentioning China and Russia, which many analysts suggest reflects a strategic pivot towards the United States. Speaking about South Korea, Kim expressed that 'there is nothing left in our relationship', yet qualified this by stating that any remaining interactions would depend strictly on interests and calculation, indicating a pragmatic willingness to engage if beneficial. This duality showcases North Korea's attempts to navigate complex relationships in a shifting geopolitical landscape.

Further contextualizing Kim's comments, his references highlight a determined distancing from South Korea while simultaneously acknowledging the potential for negotiation, especially in relation to U.S. dynamics. He hinted that there are 'no reasons not to coexist well', should circumstances be favorable, illuminating a careful balancing act as North Korea seeks to exploit any leverage it can with the South, especially as a mediator in U.S.-North Korea relations. Despite this delicacy, his designation of South Korea as a 'most hostile nation' suggests that future party regulations regarding inter-Korean relations may see revisions.

Additionally, North Korea's lack of reference to China and Russia during the congress can be interpreted as a strategic restraint in light of uncertain future relations with the U.S., especially ahead of upcoming high-stakes meetings between U.S. and Chinese leaders. Highlighting an emphasis on military enhancement, including the use of AI in autonomous drones, suggests that North Korea may be drawing lessons from current global conflicts, particularly concerning Russia's actions in Ukraine. As domestic economic plans show some improvement and internal leadership reflects a younger cadre, Kim's confidence appears to be growing, marking a significant affirmation of the 'Kim Jong-un system' away from the shadows of his predecessors.

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