The article examines the current state of the Russian economy, which remains exceptionally fragile in the wake of the ongoing war in Ukraine. Despite earlier predictions of an imminent collapse following the sharp increase in Western sanctions, many economists are now hesitant about forecasting a complete economic breakdown. The Russian government has invested heavily in military and defense sectors, leading to a surprising economic boost in 2023 and 2024, with drone and tank production facilities reportedly operating at full capacity.

In supermarkets, Western brands have largely been replaced by Russian imitations, indicating a shift in consumer behavior and production in response to sanctions. For many Russians not directly involved in the war or living in border regions, the war has, paradoxically, resulted in some positive economic effects. However, as the article continues, it highlights significant warning signals emerging over the past year, suggesting a potential downturn despite temporary growth.

The future of the Russian economy is uncertain, with both optimistic and pessimistic views on its sustainability amid ongoing conflict and international pressure. This complex situation underlines the challenges facing Russia's economic landscape, as the reliance on military spending may not be a sustainable solution in the long run, raising questions about the long-term consequences of the war on Russia's overall economic health.