Feb 24 • 17:02 UTC 🇦🇷 Argentina La Nacion (ES)

Markets: The dollar rebounds after reaching four-month lows and the country risk approaches 550 points again

Country risk in Argentina is rising as the dollar rebounds, reaching 542 basis points, while the official exchange rate increases to $1395.

Argentina's economic indicators show a concerning trend as the country risk, measured by JP Morgan, approaches 550 basis points, reflecting growing uncertainties in the global economic environment. The recent dollar rebound follows a period of relative stability, with the currency previously touching its lowest point in over seven years at the end of January. Despite efforts from the Central Bank to stabilize the economy by purchasing more than $2.5 billion this year to bolster reserves, external conditions have resulted in a resurgence of volatility in the local market.

As of now, the JP Morgan country risk index has climbed to 542 basis points, marking an increase of 5 points or nearly 1% in just two days of trading. With February nearing its end, the cumulative rise in country risk stands at 46 units, translating to a 9.3% increase for the month. This fluctuation underlines the challenges facing Argentina's economy, exacerbated by a less favorable international environment that has prompted market reactions reflecting investor sentiment.

The implications of these economic shifts are significant; increasing country risk can lead to higher borrowing costs for Argentina and can impact investment flows negatively. As the government navigates these troubling waters, the combination of domestic monetary policies and international economic pressures will be critical in determining how effectively it can stabilize its currency and restore confidence among investors.

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