Recent statements by Russian military officials claim significant territorial gains in Ukraine, with General Sergei Rudskoy stating that as of early 2026, Russian forces had taken control of approximately 900 square kilometers and 42 settlements. This includes claims of heavy control over regions like Kostiantynivka and advancements in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk areas. However, these assertions come under scrutiny with the acknowledgment of recent Ukrainian counterattacks in the affected territories.

Contrary to Russian claims, analysts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) argue that the actual territorial gains by the Russian military are considerably less impressive than reported. Their analysis suggests that since the beginning of 2026, Russian forces have only captured 19 settlements and a total of 572 square kilometers, indicating that their military push has been more limited and less successful than Russia’s public statements would suggest.

These discrepancies between official Russian narratives and independent analyses could have significant implications for public perception and international responses to the ongoing conflict. If the ISW's assessment holds true, it may influence both domestic and international readiness to engage with the conflict, particularly as the reality on the ground continues to reflect the challenges faced by Russian forces.