Feb 21 • 11:50 UTC 🇪🇪 Estonia Postimees

NATO Plan: Shooting Down 1,200 Ballistic Missiles on the First Day of War - What Happens Next?

NATO planners have calculated the scenario of shooting down 1,200 ballistic missiles in one day, revealing the significant challenges and costs associated with such a scenario.

NATO strategists have contemplated an alarming scenario where 1,200 ballistic missiles might be shot down within a single day of conflict. The calculations indicate that intercepting each missile would typically require at least two interceptor missiles, which translates to the deployment of thousands of costly missiles such as Patriot and THAAD systems within just 24 hours. This prompts a critical analysis of NATO's capacity to sustain such an intense defensive operation given the current production rates of missile systems, which appear to lag behind the speed of potential threats.

Analysts are also raising concerns over the sustainability of continuing such a defensive approach. As geopolitical tensions escalate, the capacity of Western nations to maintain this level of defense amidst limited production capabilities becomes increasingly questionable. The potential exhaustion of military resources leads to broader implications for NATO's strategic posture and its overall readiness to respond to emerging threats in a timely manner.

Furthermore, experts are suggesting that relying solely on defense mechanisms might prove too costly and ineffective in the long run. Instead, there is a growing argument for preemptive or offensive strategies to disrupt the adversary's capabilities before missile launches occur. This adjustment in strategy would necessitate a reevaluation of NATO's current defense priorities and investment in offensive military capabilities, enabling a more balanced approach to threat management in modern warfare.

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