In his commentary, Ahto Lobjakas critiques the assumption that NATO's assistance is an automatic response in times of crisis, asserting that it is contingent upon the political will of member states. He specifically questions the ethical justification for the United States to use nuclear weapons in defense of Estonia, suggesting that this highlights a larger issue regarding the reliance on NATO for security. Lobjakas vividly illustrates the changes in geopolitical dynamics brought about by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, drawing uncomfortable parallels with historical conflicts and raising doubts about the steadfastness of NATO's commitments to Eastern European nations.

Lobjakas further reflects on four years of war in Ukraine, arguing that little has changed in the broader international landscape, as the world seems trapped in a cycle of unfulfilled hopes. He provocatively notes that Eastern European countries, particularly Estonia, are expected to relinquish their hopeful aspirations of unconditional support from NATO. The essay suggests a shift in understanding the dynamics of security in light of these challenges, especially concerning the reliability of NATO commitments over time.

Ultimately, Lobjakas emphasizes the need for a critical reassessment of the trust in NATO's collective defense guarantees, particularly in light of recent events. He points out the ideological commitment made by leaders to convey unwavering support, suggesting that questioning these dogmas could lead to political consequences in Estonia. This implies not only a call for a realistic understanding of military alliances but also urges a national reflection on the implications of such dependencies in contemporary geopolitical contexts.