Recent daily polls conducted for the financial market have shown a significant rise in support for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, which has alarmed allies of President Lula as he reportedly outperformed Lula in some hypothetical second-round scenarios during the Carnival period. This unexpected shift in polling dynamics indicates a potential challenge for Lula and his party, considering that Bolsonaro’s lead has raised eyebrows among political leaders. Furthermore, the polls highlight an increase in Lula's rejection ratings, which surpassed his approval by over four percentage points. Although recent evaluations suggested that this rejection rate did not settle at significantly higher levels, it nonetheless illustrated a worrying trend for Lula's administration amid rising discontent among the electorate. Despite a decrease in Lula's disapproval rating following the festivities, the government still faces challenges in reversing the overall opinion of the public in favor of the president. The findings underscore a broader trend from the past months where all surveys indicated Lula's disapproval surpassing his approval ratings, marking a crucial time for the administration as the electoral race heats up.