"The Economist": Putin is stuck - continuing the war has become his only option
The article discusses how Putin's continued aggression in Ukraine appears to be his lone remaining strategy amidst dwindling prospects for peace talks and significant military achievements.
The Economist article highlights the increasing likelihood that ongoing war efforts are now President Putin's only viable option amid a deteriorating situation in Ukraine. It references speculation that peace negotiations might be imposed through pressure from former President Donald Trump, but the potential for this outcome seems to diminish as conditions on the ground shift unfavorably for Russia. Even if an agreement were reached, the repercussions within Russia could lead to economic and political instability, fundamentally undermining Putin's ambitions of establishing a legacy akin to historic rulers.
In analyzing Putin's military endeavors over the past four years, the report notes that Russia's territorial gains in Ukraine remain minimal when contrasted with the Soviet Union's significant military achievements during World War II. The current battlefield conditions also indicate no positive changes are imminent, as Russia grapples with its inability to leverage its quantitative advantages due to technological disruptions, particularly from drone warfare that complicates troop mobilization and strategic maneuvers in confined areas.
Moreover, the article outlines the escalating losses Russia faces, which have outstripped the number of new recruits being enlisted in recent months. The lack of traditional mobilization avenues means that Moscow must find alternative methods for sustaining its military efforts, all while contending with an enduring insurgency in Ukraine and potential dissent at home regarding the ongoing conflict. This backdrop propels a narrative of uncertainty concerning Russia's future military and political landscape, painting a grim picture for Putin's aspirations.