A recent survey conducted by OGB reveals that the Civic Coalition (KO), which is currently leading, has experienced a drop of 4.5 percentage points in support since January, while support for the ruling Law and Justice party (PiS) decreased by 0.7 percentage points. The right-wing party Confederation has seen an increase of 2.1 percentage points, indicating a growing base of support among Polish voters. Meanwhile, the Confederation of the Polish Crown lost 0.7 percentage points, and the New Left party registered a gain of 1.4 percentage points.

Additionally, the poll forecasts potential seat distributions in the Polish parliament based on the reported results. If elections were held today, the Civic Coalition could secure approximately 188 seats, while PiS would have 154, Confederation 70, and the Polish Crown Confederation 38 seats. The New Left party is projected to gain 10 seats. This power dynamic implies that the PiS party would need both Confederation factions to form a coalition, as their combined seats would total 262, exceeding the majority threshold, while the Civic Coalition would have to explore coalition possibilities to secure governance.

This shifting political landscape is significant as it reflects changing voter sentiments in Poland. The declining support for the ruling party and the growing influence of right-wing factions like Confederation may prompt a reevaluation of political strategies among mainstream parties like the Civic Coalition and PiS. The upcoming political maneuvers could greatly impact the governance and legislative agenda in Poland, making it crucial for these parties to address voter concerns and establish strategic alliances.