Feb 16 β€’ 18:14 UTC πŸ‡ΆπŸ‡¦ Qatar Al Jazeera

Is War Postponed Between Egypt and Ethiopia? Analysts Outline the Options

Analysts suggest that war between Egypt and Ethiopia is not inevitable, yet remains a possible scenario if diplomatic efforts fail amidst rising regional tensions.

In the program 'Al-Masaa'iya' on Al Jazeera Mubasher, analysts examined the tense situation between Egypt and Ethiopia, emphasizing that while war is not an inevitable outcome, it remains a potential option should diplomatic avenues fail. Particularly highlighted was the statement from the Egyptian military strategist Dr. Said Ghoneim, who noted that although war remains a theoretical option, Egypt considers it a last resort, favoring peaceful resolutions due to its historical precedence. This perspective sheds light on Egypt's long-standing approach towards conflict resolution, especially regarding sensitive issues like the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) that have persisted for decades without reaching military engagement.

Dr. Amani Al-Tawil, director of the African program at Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, commented on recent Egyptian statements concerning governance and security in the Red Sea, asserting they reflect concerns about Ethiopia's ambitions to gain sovereign access to maritime routes. Egypt firmly rejects such ambitions, arguing that international law and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea uphold the Red Sea as a shared resource for bordering nations. This points to deeper geopolitical conflicts in the region, highlighting the fragile nature of peace between these two nations and the broader implications for regional stability.

As tensions continue to rise, the need for effective diplomatic engagement becomes increasingly crucial. Both nations must navigate their complex historical grievances and regional aspirations while striving for an agreement that prevents escalation into conflict. The call for dialogue amidst these uncertainties signifies the importance of collaboration in regional conflict resolution, particularly in light of international legal frameworks governing shared water resources and maritime territories.

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