The upcoming Ramadan period is viewed by security forces in Israel as a critical test for relations with Palestinians, following what they describe as a delicate and complicated security situation. Recent years saw Ramadan occur amidst conflict, but now, four months after a ceasefire, military leaders believe current tensions are even more precarious. A series of security incidents, political decisions perceived as undermining the Palestinian Authority, and worsening economic conditions are all contributing to an increase in tensions in the region.

Senior officers have warned in closed sessions that the Palestinian street, which has not mobilized en masse for protests thus far, may be at risk of erupting into confrontations with Israeli forces during Ramadan. These concerns stem from a history of heightened violence during this religious observance, exacerbated this year by factors such as settler violence and regional influences, including tensions with Iran. The combination of these elements has led to fears that this Ramadan could be particularly violent.

As Ramadan approaches, the Israeli security apparatus is preparing for potential escalations, recognizing that any outbreak of significant violence could have broad implications for both Palestinian and Israeli communities. The situation remains fluid, and stakeholders are closely monitoring developments that could impact peace and stability in the region during this sensitive time.