In recent assessments, Western officials have indicated that China is ramping up its support for Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine. The officials noted that President Xi Jinping has shown increased determination and confidence in backing Russian President Vladimir Putin. Starting in 2025, China's assistance has become critical, with expectations that this cooperation will deepen further in the coming year, raising significant concerns about the viability of diplomacy efforts spearheaded by European leaders aimed at improving relations with China amidst the conflict.

The report emphasizes that the continuation of Russia's military operations is heavily reliant on Chinese support. This includes the supply of dual-use components and essential minerals that are integral to Russia's production capabilities for drones and other military equipment. By characterizing China as the primary facilitator of the conflict, Western officials warn that decisions made in Beijing could crucially impact the course of the war. The implications are profound, as China's involvement complicates the geopolitical landscape, posing challenges to diplomatic resolutions proposed by Europe.

Furthermore, the stark assertion made by US Ambassador to the UN, who stated that “China could call Vladimir Putin and end this war tomorrow,” underscores the extent of influence China holds over Russia. This situation presents a complex dilemma for global leaders as they navigate their relationships with both Russia and China, particularly amidst heightened tensions and continuing hostilities in Ukraine. The implications of China's expanding support could reverberate through international relations, shaping policy directions and responses to the conflict well beyond Europe's borders.