According to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), approximately 150,000 Afghans who had sought refuge in Iran and Pakistan have returned to Afghanistan since the beginning of January, largely under duress. Arafat Jamal, the UNHCR representative in Afghanistan, expressed concern about the rising figures, especially considering the harsh winter conditions, including freezing temperatures and heavy snowfall affecting many regions of the country. The sharp increase in returnees is alarming, indicating worsening circumstances for Afghan refugees abroad.

The figure marks a significant rise compared to the same period last year, when only about 98,000 Afghans returned. Babar Baloch, another UNHCR representative, highlighted that the trend of increased forced returns peaked towards the end of 2025, suggesting a deteriorating situation in the host countries that may be contributing to this return influx. The humanitarian community remains concerned over the sustainable reintegration of such a large number of returnees into Afghanistan, particularly amidst ongoing economic and security challenges.

This situation adds to the complexity of the humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan, which has been aggravated by various factors including political instability and natural disasters. The UNHCR calls for continuous international attention and support for both the returnees and the displaced populations to ensure their safety, dignity, and sustainable livelihoods as they navigate the challenges of reintegration into their home country.