Feb 11 • 06:51 UTC 🇺🇦 Ukraine Kyiv Independent

Ukraine's ballooning debt, explained

Ukraine's debt has surged to over $213 billion, exacerbated by ongoing conflict and reliance on foreign loans, complicating its financial stability amid a prolonged war.

Ukraine's debt has escalated dramatically, reaching more than $213 billion by the end of the previous year, closely mirroring the country's GDP. This staggering increase in debt is further compounded by a new 90-billion-euro loan agreed upon by European leaders in December, aimed at supporting Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia. As the war nears its fifth anniversary, Ukraine's financial challenges are mounting, with the need for foreign assistance critical to maintain its defense and operational capabilities.

The prolonged conflict with Russia has made it increasingly difficult for Ukraine to engage in peace negotiations, and with little progress on the horizon, the looming prospects of reconstruction are marred by high current expenditures. As Yuriy Butsa noted, managing the government's budget in light of escalating defense and security costs has led to an inevitable rise in public debt. The situation has placed a strain on Ukraine's economy, which is struggling to maintain stability while being caught in an ongoing state of war.

The implications of this growing debt situation are severe, suggesting that without a significant shift toward peace and stability, Ukraine may continue to face difficulties in securing financial independence. While international support remains vital, the burden of debt could stifle recovery efforts in any postwar scenario, indicating that urgent measures are required to ensure long-term economic resilience and to address the historical debt driven by ongoing conflict and economic strain.

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