The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has issued a foreboding warning regarding an impending coup in Belarus, allegedly backed by Western NGOs. The SVR claims that these organizations are planning to instigate a new wave of anti-government protests timed to coincide with the upcoming 2030 presidential elections. This follows the violent unrest of 2020, which resulted from widespread discontent over the election results and led to clashes between protestors and authorities, suggesting a continued struggle for political power within Belarus.

The intelligence report suggests that the dissatisfaction with the opposition leaders who previously orchestrated the 2020 protests has led Western sponsors to seek out new figures to incite unrest and challenge President Alexander Lukashenko’s government. The SVR denotes that these efforts are being driven by various 'democratizing' NGOs and foundations based in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, and other European nations, indicating a broader international interest in Belarusian political affairs.

Furthermore, the SVR's assertion of the potential for a 'color revolution' refers to the use of non-violent protest strategies that have been historically effective in various uprisings throughout the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. This description highlights not only the escalating tensions but also the strategic maneuvers by external influences aiming to alter Belarus's constitutional framework, creating significant implications for the region's stability and geopolitical relationships.