A researcher claims that Russia has developed its air forces to pose a greater threat to Western forces in Europe than before the Ukraine war started.
A recent analysis by British researcher Dr. Justin Bronk from the Royal United Services Institute highlights the evolving capabilities of the Russian Air Force during the ongoing war in Ukraine. According to Bronk, Russia now poses a more significant threat to NATO frontline forces than it did prior to the conflict. The assessment reflects a shift in air power dynamics in Europe, emphasizing the increasing competency of the Russian military despite significant losses in equipment since the war's beginning in 2022.
Bronk states that Russia has lost roughly 130 fixed-wing aircraft since the onset of the war. While this number indicates substantial losses, the Russian Air and Space Forces (VKS) have still managed to achieve operational growth. The losses have primarily affected the Su-25 ground-attack aircraft and the Su-34 strike bomber, with approximately 40 units of each type destroyed. Notably, Bronk deems the Su-25 ineffective in a conflict scenario against NATO, suggesting that these losses may not significantly impair Russia's strike capabilities.
The implications of this analysis are profound for NATO's strategic assessment and military preparedness. As the balance of air power shifts and Russia adapts its tactics, NATO must reconsider its defensive strategies along its Eastern flank to counter the emerging threats posed by a seemingly rejuvenated Russian air force. This development could lead to an escalation in tensions in the region and requires vigilant responses from NATO member states to ensure collective security.
