Mar 22 • 14:00 UTC 🇬🇧 UK Guardian

Almost half of Australians think foreign military will attack within five years, ANU study suggests

A significant portion of Australians fear a foreign military attack within the next five years, according to a recent study by the Australian National University.

A new report from the Australian National University’s National Security College reveals that nearly half of Australians are now concerned that a foreign military could attack the country within the next five years. This rising anxiety comes as two-thirds of surveyed individuals, including a notably increasing number of teenagers and young adults, express fears about national security issues. The survey, conducted over a period from November 2024 to February 2026, indicates a growing unease, particularly among the youth, with 55% of 18 to 24-year-olds indicating worry about national security, a significant rise from just 22% in late 2024.

The report highlights a range of specific national security threats that Australians perceive as likely to manifest by the end of the decade. These concerns include fears of AI-enabled attacks, disinformation campaigns, disruptions to critical supply chains, the impact of climate change, foreign interference, and severe economic crises. Over 85% of respondents in the survey believe these threats are probable, showcasing a broad consensus on the seriousness of the current geopolitical climate.

Overall, this study reflects a significant shift in public sentiment towards national security in Australia, underscoring heightened vigilance among citizens regarding potential threats. As the landscape of global security continues to evolve, the implications of these findings may prompt discussions and actions concerning Australia’s defense strategies and international relations, especially in light of emerging technologies and geopolitical tensions.

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