Mar 21 • 12:55 UTC 🇮🇳 India Aaj Tak (Hindi)

These 5 Reasons... Why the Rupee is Falling in War? Risk of Breaking 100 Marks

The Indian Rupee is experiencing significant depreciation amidst ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, with some experts predicting it may soon breach the 100 mark against the dollar.

The Indian Rupee has been witnessing a steep decline in its value due to the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. As of Friday, the Rupee fell to 93.71 against the dollar, marking a significant drop of 108 paise, which is the largest single-day decline in four years. The currency has experienced a total depreciation of about 266 paise or nearly 2% since the start of March, leading analysts to express concerns over its future trajectory, particularly with predictions that it could reach the 100 mark against the dollar soon.

Market analysts have pointed out that the current economic climate is exacerbated by rising crude oil prices, which have climbed to roughly 94 dollars per barrel. This situation further complicates the Indian economy, making it vulnerable to external shocks and leading to increased inflationary pressures. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been actively intervening in the foreign exchange market to curb the volatility, including measures such as selling dollars through government banks and employing forward contracts in the offshore markets to provide support to the currency.

Despite the RBI’s efforts, which reportedly included over $15 billion in sales to stabilize the Rupee in March alone, the outlook remains precarious. Experts are closely monitoring the situation as the central bank faces challenges in restoring confidence in the Rupee amidst fluctuating global market conditions. The potential for the Rupee to breach the 100 level raises serious concerns for economic stability in India.

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