Mar 21 • 07:30 UTC 🇬🇧 UK Guardian

SA state election 2026: Labor confident but all eyes on One Nation vote as polls close in South Australia

In South Australia, polls for the state election closed with Labor expecting a landslide victory, while the performance of One Nation is being closely monitored by both parties.

As the polls closed in South Australia, the Labor party appeared set for a resounding re-election victory in the state election, bolstered by the popularity of its leader, Peter Malinauskas. With Labor entering the election holding 29 out of 47 seats, the party's chances of retaining power seemed secure amid the turmoil and scandals that have beset the Liberal opposition. In contrast, the Liberal party was projected to see its representation diminish significantly, with predictions suggesting a drop from 13 lower-house seats to potentially single digits.

A key aspect of this election was the rise in support for Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party, which posed a significant challenge to the traditional power dynamics in the state. Election night discussions, including insights from federal Liberal MP Tony Pasin, revealed that the Liberals were prepared to accept a disappointing outcome, aiming to hold onto six to eight seats under the current electoral conditions. The soaring voter engagement was evident, with more than 35% of voters casting their ballots before election day, a notable increase from the previous election.

The implications of this election extend beyond immediate seat counts; they indicate shifting political sentiments among voters in South Australia, particularly regarding the appetite for alternatives to the mainstream parties. As Labor positioned itself to capitalize on the discontent with the Liberals and the potential fragmentation of votes towards One Nation, the results of this election may have long-lasting effects on the political landscape of South Australia and the strategies of both major parties moving forward.

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