The Trump administration is reportedly crafting a strategy that targets Harkas Island, which plays a vital role in Iran's oil export operations. According to a report from 'Axios' citing four informed sources, this move could either involve capturing the island or blocking its access, given that approximately 90% of Iran's oil is exported via its terminal located there. The objective seems to be applying pressure on Iran to restore shipping practices in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, amid growing tensions due to escalating military actions by the US and Israel against Iran last month, which have contributed to rising global oil prices.

The potential operation to seize Harkas Island is under consideration as a means to further weaken Iran's military positioning in the Strait of Hormuz. Officials indicate that any military action would require a preparatory phase aimed at diminishing Iranian capabilities through targeted strikes in the area before the island itself could be captured. One source close to the White House has suggested that this operation might necessitate around a month of strategic planning and military actions to ensure success.

The implications of such an operation could be profound, affecting not just US-Iran relations but also the stability of global oil markets. The ongoing conflict has already led to significant price fluctuations in oil, and further military escalation in this region could have consequences that extend far beyond the immediate area, impacting international energy supply chains and geopolitical dynamics.