When support decreases, the instinct is to distort the election
The article discusses how authoritarian leaders often change electoral rules to maintain their power when they begin to lose public support.
The article explores a predictable phase in authoritarian regimes where, instead of correcting their course in response to diminishing electoral support, leaders tend to manipulate the electoral competition to favor themselves. In Mexico, there have been attempts to rewrite rules that would create conditions beneficial for the ruling party, despite these efforts being unsuccessful. However, the underlying temptation persists, often disguised under various plans and justifications that center around order, austerity, or 'cleanliness.' This reflects a broader trend where a leader facing loss of support will typically resort to altering the rules in their favor, reminiscent of shifting rules in a reality show like Big Brother, indicating that as backing wanes, the terms of competition will change in favor of the incumbent.
The article also draws parallels to former U.S. President Donald Trump's approach, highlighting his consistent use of cynical audacity and a strategy of fostering unpredictability. He maintains a wide array of enemies and relies on eliciting fear as a motivator for his base. This strategy, while initially effective, has led to a problematic legacy characterized by confusion, scandals, internal division, and corruption. Trump's tenure embodies the themes of how leaders navigate dwindling support through manipulation, often at the expense of democratic integrity.
Ultimately, the piece warns of the dangers posed by such tactics in both Mexico and the U.S., stressing that as leaders get desperate to retain power, they may resort to increasingly erratic and authoritarian measures. This creates a troubling dynamic for democratic processes and governance, illuminating the challenges faced by nations grappling with the erosion of political support and the integrity of their electoral systems.