Mar 18 • 04:30 UTC 🇪🇸 Spain El País

Plastics, aluminum or chips: what the world economy loses with the closure of Hormuz beyond oil and gas

The closure of the Hormuz Strait threatens to significantly impact the global economy by restricting the supply of critical materials needed for various industries, not just oil and gas.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has far-reaching implications for the global supply chain, especially concerning critical materials used in industries such as agriculture and technology. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to severe economic repercussions, affecting not just the immediate oil and gas markets but also the availability of plastics, aluminum, and high-tech components like computer chips. As conflicts between the United States, Israel, and Iran escalate, the ripple effects on commerce could lead to increased consumer prices, hindered crop yields, and disruptions in technology utilization for products that millions rely on daily.

Experts warn that the impact of shutting down Hormuz is much more profound than most realize. According to Felipe Elink Schuurman, co-founder of the trading firm Sparta, the real vulnerabilities lie in the derivatives of crude oil rather than crude oil itself. The intricate supply chains that deliver essential goods—ranging from food packaging to advanced AI tools—could face bottlenecks, leading to shortages that will be felt worldwide. The broader economic consequences may result in a 'perfect storm' affecting not just major corporations but also everyday consumers, signaling a potential risk to global economic stability.

As the geopolitical tensions continue to rise, the global community must carefully monitor these developments. The situation poses significant risks for economies heavily reliant on these materials and technologies, urging stakeholders to seek alternatives and develop robust strategies to mitigate the impending disruptions. Failure to address these challenges will inevitably affect economic growth and innovation across multiple sectors, highlighting the importance of proactive measures in response to geopolitical instabilities.

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