The article discusses the possibility of a new influx of refugees from Iran following the ongoing war in the country. Although there have not yet been significant indications of a large-scale refugee movement, experts caution that depending on how the conflict unfolds, many people may flee in search of safety. Bernd Parusel, a researcher and migration expert at the Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies, notes that history shows how the EU only began to seriously confront the refugee crisis following the Syrian war, which peaked in asylum applications in 2015. The implication is that if Iran's regime increases its repression against opposition and minority groups, a similar refugee crisis may emerge, especially given Iran's larger population compared to Syria.

Additionally, the article highlights the geographical scale of the potential refugee movement, suggesting that if a significant percentage of Iran's population decides to flee, the numbers could reach into the millions. This would place immense pressure on neighboring countries and the EU, reminiscent of the migrant challenges faced during the Syrian conflict. The discussion underscores the urgency of the situation, as neighboring nations may be critical in managing any upcoming humanitarian crisis that arises due to the conflict in Iran.